by    in prediction

Ranker Predicts Jacksonville Jaguars to have NFL’s worst record in 2014

Today is the start of the NFL season and building on our success in using crowdsourcing to predict the World Cup, we’d like to release our predictions for the upcoming NFL season.  Using data from our “Which NFL Team Will Have the Worst Record in 2014?” list, which was largely voted on by the community at WalterFootball.com (using a Ranker widget), we would predict the following order of finish, from worst to first.  Unfortunately for fans in Florida, the wisdom of crowds predicts that the Jacksonville Jaguars will finish last this year.

As a point of comparison, I’ll also include predictions from WalterFootball’s Walter Cherepinsky, ESPN (based on power rankings), and Betfair (basted on betting odds for winning the Super Bowl).  Since we are attempting to predict the teams with the worst records in 2014, the worst teams are listed first and the best teams are listed last.

Ranker NFL Worst Team Predictions 2014

The value proposition of Ranker is that we believe that the combined judgments of many individuals is smarter than even the most informed individual experts.  Our predictions were based on over 27,000 votes from 2,900+ fans, taking into account both positive and negative sentiment by combining the raw magnitude of positive votes with the ratio of positive to negative votes.  As research on the wisdom of crowds predicts, the crowd sourced judgments from Ranker should outperform those from the experts.  Of course, there is a lot of luck and randomness that occurs throughout the NFL season, so our results, good or bad, should be taken with a grain of salt.  What is perhaps more interesting is the proposition that crowdsourced data can approximate the results of a betting market like BetFair, for the real value of Ranker data is in predicting things where there is no betting market (e.g. what content should Netflix pursue?).

Stay tuned til the end of the season for results.

– Ravi Iyer

by    in Popular Lists

Happy Inanimate Objects, Dramatic Animals + Gamer Survival Kits

60+ Everyday Objects That Look Really Happy
What could be nicer than finding a smiley face at the bottom of your coffee mug? How about living in a house that looks super excited to see you every time you come home? This is a simple gallery of pics of everyday things that look like they are happy.

Essential Products For a Gamer Survival Kit
No matter what, gamers gonna game! But for a gamer to play at peak performance levels, there are certain survival essentials for quests, campaigns, and candy crushes. Behold: everything you need to survive an intense gaming sesh.

The Worst Qualities in a Person
Let’s face it: not everyone is perfect. Even the most charming people are guilty of at least a few negative personality traits. But which ones are the worst?

Being a Student Is . . .
Being a student isn’t always as easy as it sounds. Sure, there are the parties, the booze, the moving away from home and living without your parents – but there’s also a whole lot of stress, worry, studying, and exams.

The 36 Most Dramatic Animals on the Internet
Drama isn’t just a human thing. As this list of GIFs proves, the animal kingdom is full of feisty creatures who have a flair for the dramatic.

Pretentious Words You Secretly Don’t Know How to Pronounce
What are some of the most overused, mispronounced words people use to try to sound smarter?

The Internet Remembers Robin Williams
And finally, we lost a beloved comedy legend this month. Robin Williams was the face, voice, and talent of a lot of our childhoods and many people took to social media to share touching memories of him. We’ve rounded up the best tributes and would like to invite fans to vote on their favorite Robin Williams movies. R.I.P. Genie.

That’s it! Stay in touch and we hope you’re having a great month!